臂踝动脉脉搏波传导速度对新发急性心肌梗死发病风险的影响

Relationship between brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity and risk of new-onset acute myocardial infarction

  • 摘要: 目的探讨臂踝动脉脉搏波传导速度(baPWV)对新发急性心肌梗死(AMI)发病风险的影响。方法采用回顾性队列研究方法,以2010-2017年在开滦研究队列随访时接受baPWV检测的人群为研究对象,将观察对象分为baPWV<14、14~<18和≥18 m/s组。计算3组人群AMI的发病密度;Log-Rank检验比较3组间累积发病率的差异;采用多因素Cox比例风险模型和限制性立方样条分析baPWV对新发AMI发病风险的影响。结果纳入符合标准的观察对象41 405例,随访时间中位数(四分位间距)为2.66(1.07~5.39)年,发现新发AMI事件150例,3组的发病密度分别为3.69/万人年、12.79/万人年、26.65/万人年,Log-Rank检验结果显示3组间累积发病率逐渐增高(χ2=77.75,P<0.05)。在Cox比例风险模型中校正年龄、性别等混杂因素后,与baPWV<14 m/s组比较,baPWV 14~<18 m/s组和baPWV≥18 m/s组发生AMI的HR(95%CI)分别为1.77(1.04~3.01)和1.93(1.03~3.60)。限制性立方样条分析显示AMI的发生风险与baPWV水平呈剂量-反应关系。结论 baPWV的增加是新发AMI的危险因素。

     

    Abstract: Objective To investigate the effect of brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity(baPWV) on new-onset acute myocardial infarction(AMI). Methods A retrospective cohort study was performed for the subjects who underwent baPWV examination during the follow-up of Kailuan Study Cohort from 2010 to 2017. The observation subjects were divided into three groups based on the levels of baPWV: <14, 14-<18 m/s and ≥18 m/s. The incidence density of AMI in three groups was calculated. Log-Rank test was used to compare the differences of cumulative AMI incidence among three groups. The influence of baPWV on new-onset AMI was analyzed by Cox proportional risk model and restricted cubic spline. Results A total of 41 405 subjects were included in the study. During 2.66(1.07-5.39) years’ follow-up, 150 new-onset AMI cases were observed. The incidence density of AMI in three groups was 3.69, 12.79, and 26.65 per ten thousand person-years, respectively. Log-Rank test result showed the cumulative AMI incidence increased gradually from the subjects with the lowest baPWV to those with the highest baPWV(χ~2=77.75, P<0.05). Compared with subjects with baPWV<14 m/s, Cox model showed HRs(95% CI) of AMI in those with baPWV 14-<18 m/s and baPWV≥18 m/s was 1.77(1.04-3.01) and 1.93(1.03-3.60) after adjusting for age, sex, and other potential confounding factors, respectively. Restricted cubic spline analysis showed that there was a dose-response relationship between the HR of AMI and baPWV level. Conclusion The increased baPWV is a risk factor for new-onset AMI.

     

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